Of course they'll talk to us--they already have, in deeds if not in words. They've made it absolutely clear that they're here; that they intend for us to know of their presence, but are not (yet) forcing the issue of 'acknowledgment'; that they have the technical capability to destroy our civilization, but despite many attempts to 'shoot them down', have refrained from any massive retaliation; and that they are particularly 'concerned' about our nuclear weapons.
Whether or not they've already had limited verbal communications with highly secretive elements of the US and other governments--only the governments and the ETs know--based on publicly available information, it's obvious the governments haven't learned much about how 'Rapidly Evolving Technological Civilizations' survive and prosper.
So, in the context of this blog, the question is, would they respond, and if so how, to the sorts of requests for communications described in 'A Real SETI...'?
In other words, are they willing and able to begin an 'intelligent conversation' with our civilization?
First, are they willing? There are several possible explanations for their clearly demonstrated intent for us to know of their presence, while not forcing the issue. What does this imply about their intentions?
One explanation is that they have no interest in contact in the near term, but are simply 'rattling our cage', either as a scientific experiment conducted on primitives, or simply for 'entertainment'.
Or perhaps, similarly without any intention of near term formal contact, they are gently making it clear to us that there are other far more intelligent and technologically advanced life forms in the Universe, and that we should begin to consider the implications for our possible future(s)--on Earth, and perhaps in space.
Another rather strange explanation is the notion of a 'Vast Malicious Alien Consciousness'. That is, some vast consciousness, responsible for UFOs, fairies, and the whole range of 'paranormal' phenomena, is malicious, but so far incapable of intruding into our 'consensus reality', and is trying to get us to 'acknowledge' it, or 'believe' in it's reality, thus empowering it to do us grievous harm. The (im)plausibility of this argument is discussed in 'Vast Alien Consciousness...'.
Another possible explanation is the premise of this blog--that they have in effect knocked on our door thousands of times, and intend the possibility of contact, but have deferred in a limited way to our systems of 'government', and are waiting for one or more 'sovereign' groups (nations) to take responsibility for beginning a conversation. In other words, they are definitely 'willing' to begin a conversation...
But even if they're 'willing', are they 'able' to have an 'intelligent conversation' with us? In other words, do they have the ability to convey useful information relevant to the future of our civilization?
There are two requirements for such a conversation: first, the cultural understanding and linguistic fluency necessary to communicate, and second, the technical means to interact with our communications systems.
Since they obviously have the ability to create optical signals--lights on their spacecraft, and beams of various kinds--and since detection of optical signals is technically trivial, even for us, clearly they have the technical means to communicate in at least a limited optical Morse code conversation. But unless they have an extraordinary understanding of our civilization, then no 'useful' conversation would be possible.
While they obviously have excellent 'physical intelligence', i.e., they can interact with aircraft, and electronic weapons systems, etc., in a very controlled and rational way, the critical issue is their 'linguistic and cultural intelligence' capability.
At the minimum, if they've had any interest in our civilization--and it's obvious that they have--they will have monitored our radio and TV for decades, and thus should have an excellent understanding of life on Earth. They've also had the capability to deploy probes (invisible or nearly so), capable in principle of physical surveillance of printed materials, and monitoring personal conversations. And in recent years, they certainly have had the capability to monitor (and even interact with) the Internet. At the extreme, they may be intercepting essentially all communications, including classified government traffic, and thus have access not only to what the public knows, but more complete access to the 'secret' activities of governments than any humans, in or out of our governments.
Even if, as 'biologicals', they are not far more 'intelligent' than humans, we know that (if our progress continues) in a few decades, humans will have created cybernetics which will far exceed the practical intelligence of humans. Such an intelligence (with unrestricted access to the Internet, etc.) would have a far better understanding of our civilization than any human; and so it should be obvious--since their technology is 'centuries' if not 'millennia' beyond ours, and since, for an advanced civilization, construction of such a cybernetic intelligence would be a trivial exercise--that, if necessary, they will have such a 'cybernetic intelligence'. And so we should expect--if they were sufficiently interested--that they and/or their cybernetics will have a vastly greater understanding of life on Earth than any intelligence analyst, or any talk show host, reporter, politician, or scientist, etc.
Thus, if they intend the possibility of an 'intelligent' conversation with our civilization, they certainly have the necessary technical ability, and cultural understanding and linguistic fluency.
We know with certainty that at least some of the UFO appearances represent an effort to make their presence known, without 'forcing the issue'. But what we don't know--at least from publicly available sources--is which group or groups of ETs would talk to us? Would one or more groups oppose, and perhaps try to prevent any contact between humankind and the civilizations of the Universe? What do we have to do to begin a conversation? And what would they say?
[Update: If you're interested in this issue--'Would They Talk to Us?', you might want to read the brief note 'Watch the Big Triangles' (the next post in this blog), since the major 'big triangle' events are important demonstrations of the intention of at least one group of ETs to make their presence known. Also, if you're interested in this subject, you might also be interested in 'Contact, Acknowledgment, and Disclosure'.]