Wednesday, December 14, 2016

About This Blog

[The email address for this blog is in the 'Complete Profile' link on the right side of the page.]

The primary purpose of this blog is to suggest a simple approach to initiating 'Contact' now with the ETIs interacting with the human race, and to argue that learning of the experiences of other rapidly evolving technological civilizations might be critical to the well being and even survival of our civilization. At a minimum, if the idea is discussed openly enough, it will end any pretense of a 'debate' over the reality of UFOs.

[Please note that 'ETI' is used in the popular sense to refer to the 'Others', in 'UFOs', interacting with our civilization--whoever they are, and 'wherever', or 'whenever' they come from.]

The secondary purpose is to suggest a simple 'open-source' science experiment which could end now the 'debate' over the reality of psychic phenomena; and to argue that a better understanding of the relationship between consciousness and 'reality' might also be critical to our well being, and perhaps even survival.

No attempt is made to present evidence to support the reality of UFOs and Psi, since the publicly available evidence already demonstrates beyond any doubt that these 'hypotheses' are correct. The two experiments are simply intended to demonstrate their reality in an open, public, undeniable way.

Anyone who doubts the correctness of the basic argument of this blog is invited to ask NASA--or your nation's space agency--about the simple experiment, which costs nothing and can be done now, as posed in 'A Real SETI...'.

No UFO skeptic can openly pose that (Real SETI) question, because the ensuing discussion will inevitably end the UFO 'debate', and then the coverup, forcing 'Acknowledgement', and eventually Contact; and that, in turn, will necessarily end the materialist delusion which is the basis of our civilization.

Of course, it will also end this era (of many millennia) of human civilization--for better, and for worse...

Are we more likely, as a civilization, to survive and prosper in the coming years and decades by ignoring the lessons which we might learn from the experiences of past civilizations?

Do you want to know what happened to all the 'others'?

-----

Here's a list of the articles (posts) on this blog, in order from oldest to newest:

[Posting dates do not reflect the dates the articles were written, or originally posted.]

UFOs and the Psychic ET Pseudoscientists explains all the main ideas, and explains the approach to initiating Contact now. (If you're only interested in why it's important to initiate contact now, and how this can be accomplished, a later post explains it more briefly.)

While any significant interaction with an advanced civilization will necessarily end the simplistic notion of 'reductionist scientific materialism' and any debate over the reality of Psi, Simple Online Psi Experiment explains an experiment which could accomplish this now--before Contact.

Intentions and the 'Law of Attraction' suggests an approach for testing the notion that humans, subject to various other presently unknown factors, influence by their thoughts, intentions, beliefs, and expectations, etc., the physical reality they experience in their lives.

Spirituality & the Transhumanists points out a few parallels between the ideas of the Transhumanists, e.g., the idea that 'We'll upload our minds to computers, and live forever...', and on the other hand, the best intelligence available about the actual (spiritual) nature of our existence--from Near Death Experiences, et al. Before the Transhumanists march bravely (and ignorantly) into the Singularity, they might want to consider the ideas in this article; and indeed, this entire blog.

Reverse Engineering addresses the familiar idea in the UFO community that the U.S.G. has 'reverse-engineered' crashed flying saucers to create their own fleet of spaceships, with capabilities equivalent to the ET ships. [Summary: No, they haven't. And, no, they won't--ever.]

Truth and Freedom is for the CIA--and the Vatican--et al.

A Real SETI and Why It Matters is a briefer explanation of the UFO/Contact issues, for those who don't have the time or interest to consider the Psi issue. If you have any doubt that UFO/ETIs have been interacting with our civilization for decades, and that major governments are lying about this fact, then try asking a SETI scientist or your nation's space agency the question posed in this post. ('Speaking for your government, would you welcome a message...?')

Sample Message for 'Diplomatic' Contact is a message which could be used now to initiate the 'Diplomatic Contact' option mentioned in 'A Real SETI...'. Note: If you previously copied this blog for private distribution, please ensure that you have the updated version (December 2014) of this post.

No Nukes explains a deal we might make--after Contact with the ETIs--to remove all (or nearly all) nuclear weapons on this planet. Of course, some of the folks in the planetary genocide cult of 'National Security' experts won't like this very much.

'Vast Alien Consciousness' and Acknowledgment is for the handful of folks in the UFO community who either know a little (but not much) about reality and consciousness, who fear that Contact will empower some UFO-related beings (or 'powers and forces', etc.) from other 'realities' to harm us.

Would They Talk to Us? answers the question of whether one or more ETIs would respond to the 'Real SETI...' approach. [Summary: They will respond to any good-faith, open request by the U.N.--and even, in a limited way, to an open request from a single nation which provides plausible assurances as explained in 'A Real SETI...' and 'Sample Message...'.] [Updated July 2015.]

Watch the Big Triangles explains why large triangles are the most important UFOs for those interested in Contact.

Recent Books mentions a few recent books about UFOs which might be useful for readers of this blog.

Contact, Acknowledgment, and Disclosure briefly discusses these issues.

Contact and the Future Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, and Part 4  discuss some of the consequences of Contact, and other inevitable changes coming in the next few decades. Spring 2016 update to CF4.

UFOs, and the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk This post was intended for the folks at CSER, who apparently have forgotten an old saying: 'Those who forget the mistakes of the past are condemned to repeat them.' It's nice that they care about the future of our civilization, but it would be nicer if they could openly discuss the 'Real SETI' question...and to try to understand the high-stakes wager they--and others speaking about 'existential risks'--are making.

If You're Interested in Contact, Read This Book: Triangular UFOs Or at least try to learn about the history of the big Triangles. These are the folks we want to talk to. What sort of folks--and what sort of civilization--would be interacting with our civilization as they have been for decades? And why?

How to End the UFO Debate, and Contact Extraterrestrials--Now  Mostly intended for the UFO community, this explains a simple question that can end any debate (about UFOs and the ET presence) with most 'skeptics'--especially scientists 'searching for ET'. And it explains how to begin Contact now, if NASA can answer a simple question with a 'Yes or No': "Would you welcome a brief message from, or at least an undeniable appearance by any ETs observing our world who are willing to begin Contact now?"


Wednesday, November 9, 2016

How to End the UFO Debate, and Contact Extraterrestrials--Now

>How to End the UFO Debate Now

For decades the scientists at NASA, the SETI Institute, and around the world have been searching for extraterrestrial life in our solar system and beyond. And for decades UFO researchers have claimed that ETs have already found us, and that the U.S. Government, and governments of other major nations have known this since the 1940's.

The U.S.G. of course denies this, and nearly all scientists--especially those involved in the search for ETs--are skeptical and often scornful of the UFO researchers and their claims; and in recent years neither the U.S. Congress, mainstream news media, or the scientific community have seriously examined the overwhelming evidence supporting the UFO researchers' claims.

And so the debate continues--not 'face to face' as on the Larry King shows years ago--but in occasional MSM articles, blog posts, and comments.

While 'Ufology', by some accounts, is fading away into oblivion, 'scientific aliens'--with all the exoplanets and the SETI 'Breakthrough Initiative', etc.--are in the news every day--more than ever in the history of UFO research, with articles claiming or questioning the claim that 'we will find ET in ten years', 'twenty years', or 'never', or the ETs are AI, etc. And in brilliantly speculative articles the scientists, et al., explain what to expect when we do 'find ET'.

Every article, and every statement by these naive but well intended 'alien hunters' presents an opportunity for the UFO Disclosure and Contact advocates to challenge the 'Great Taboo', and the mass denial and delusion of our civilization [Wendt and Duvall: Sovereignty and the UFO]--an opportunity to call their bluff.

The purpose of this article is to explain to the UFO community--as well as the UFO skeptics--that the UFO debate charade can be ended anytime by asking the skeptics--and then NASA (or another nation's space agency)--the following question:

"Would you welcome a demonstration of presence, and willingness to communicate: a very brief, but undeniable daylight appearance in front of multiple witnesses with cameras by ETs who are here observing our civilization?"

Specify the place, time of day, a range of dates, and specifics such as 'less than ten seconds' for the requested appearance. For example, an appearance over Cape Canaveral (with lots of visitors and their cameras), at noon, sometime in the next month or two.

If NASA says 'Yes', then the ETs will end the UFO debate with their appearance over the specified place--or conspicuously (if not 'undeniably') elsewhere.

What?! That's ridiculous and impossible--right?

It might seem 'ridiculous', but no scientist would say it's impossible. You don't have to 'believe' in UFOs to understand it's a plausible and easily testable explanation for the 'Fermi Paradox'.

It's a simple experiment that costs nothing and can be done right now. All the scientists and NASA have to do is say 'Yes'. So can NASA and the scientists can say 'Yes'?

The answers from the skeptics/scientists--and, critically, NASA--would be an enormously important statement of principle by our civilization. Do we really *want* to know if we're alone in the Universe?

Perhaps a few courageous folks would say "Let's try it", but most scientists and other skeptics, and even some 'Ufologists', in an effort to avoid answering the question, would offer short--or long and 'carefully reasoned'--responses explaining why it can't possibly work, in order to avoid saying 'Yes' or 'No'.

Wouldn't it be easier to just say 'Yes' or 'No'?

Surely the scientists and UFO skeptics can imagine the reaction from other scientists, governments, and news media around the world if they were to openly advocate initiating the second phase of Contact now. Not to mention the consequences of allowing the people of our world to learn the story of Life in the Universe...and what that story implies for the future of humankind.

A few scientists, et al., might openly say that Contact with an advanced spacefaring race would be devastating to our civilization, and that humans should not even be allowed to know that ETs are here--much less be permitted to talk to them--and that instead of searching for the truth, we should be hiding from it.

And that is exactly the policy of the U.S. Government, and the governments of the handful of nations on this planet whose leaders know the truth of the ET presence.

Here's the best recent lie about UFOs by the U.S.G. (at the behest of 'MAJIC' [whatever the U.S.G. UFO dis/information control group is called]):
https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/formally-acknowledge-extraterrestrial-presence-engaging-human-race-disclosure

Would NASA say 'Yes', and risk the possibility--or rather, as some know, the certainty--that humankind would learn the truth of the ET presence? U.S.G. policy has been (since before NASA was created) and still is to deny the presence of UFOs and ETs. NASA is part of the 'National Security State' of the U.S., and will not be permitted to sanction an experiment that will show that ETs are here, and have been here for a very long time. Unless, of course (in light of recent events) MAJIC has reassessed the situation, and has concluded that the time has come.

But NASA also can't say 'No', because then it will be obvious to everyone that if ETs are here--and they are--NASA sure doesn't want the human race to know.

If forced to answer the question, NASA will have to respond with a clever evasion to avoid saying 'No'. NASA and others claim to be searching other Life in the Universe--and they are--kind of, sort of--as they spend billions of dollars, whilst willfully or mindlessly denying the reality of the ET presence. Anyone can search for ETs in their refrigerator, under the bed, or in the skies, etc., but 'searching for ETs' does not mean you really want to find them--if you know they're already here.

Of course NASA could say we've already transmitted messages to the stars, and nobody responded. But why would any intelligent beings have responded? The ETs know that major governments are lying to their people, and that none of the messages were intended for them--the ETs who are already here. And so, in limited deference to our primitive systems of 'governance', the ETs have refrained from responding.

Or NASA could say "Diplomatic discussions are necessarily secret, and so any discussions with ETs must be secret." Translation: The people of our world do not have a 'need to know' of the ET presence; and much less have they any need to know of any discussions the most secretive elements of the U.S.G., et al., might have with them.

It's a stupid mistake (for MAJIC, et al.) to assume ETs willing to respond to a request to begin Contact will accord unlimited respect for, or deference to, the attitudes of the national security apparati of the major governments of our world. The history of their actions makes this absolutely clear. The 'secret diplomacy' argument is only useful if NASA (MAJIC) is desperately trying to avoid saying 'Yes' or 'No'.

A prominent SETI/METI scientist was recently quoted as saying: “It may be that signaling of our intention to make contact is what’s really required to trigger a response...” And, "...the most critical reason to add Active SETI [sending messages] to our search strategy is that this may be the strategy that lets us make contact...". No kidding. You don't need a million or a hundred million dollars. You--and NASA--just have to say 'Yes'.

An astrobiologist was recently quoted as saying (*NOT* with respect to UFOs) that "...NASA has been shameful in not searching for extraterrestrial life and at the same time claiming that’s one of the motivations for their programmes...". What an extraordinary understatement...

Most people will understand that if NASA can't say 'Yes', then they've said 'No'.

If forced to answer the question, NASA's response will end the 'UFO debate' delusion.

Ufologists: UFOs are real. ETs are visiting our world.
NASA/skeptics: There's no evidence. Show us the proof.
Ufologists: Do you want proof--right now?
NASA/skeptics: No, we don't want proof, because there are no ETs visiting our world! And NO--we don't want to talk to them, because they're not here, because we said so.

>The ETs

In a zoo hypothesis ('Prime Directive') variant, the ETs have been here for many decades (millenia?), and have made their presence known (rather bluntly in some cases) to the governments of major nations--especially to the U.S. and the Soviet Union (Russia), and in particular with respect to nuclear weapons--and to millions of people around the world. They have a better understanding of our civilization than we do, and they know of the experiences of many other civilizations. They've monitored our world on a daily basis for decades, and are willing to begin the next phase of Contact as soon as one or more sovereign entities (nations) take responsibility for beginning the process. They are quite capable of communicating in images and in our languages the story of life of the Universe. The first phase of Contact began decades ago when our civilization reached a particular technological level.

They haven't forced 'acknowledgement' of their presence--e.g., with a dramatic daylight appearance over major cities--because (except for a 'Final Warning', e.g., as in the original TDTESS), willfully forcing acknowledgement of an ET presence on a primitive civilization is a hostile and destructive act, and contrary to their metaphysical understandings ('beliefs').

Honoring this policy required many thousands of difficult and uncertain judgements as to when and how they might appear, based on their assessment of our 'collective consciousness', and the intentions and capability of the major institutions of our world--the governments, scientists, the news media--to perpetuate the ignorance of the human race; and of course, their assessment of the ability of humans to deny the blindingly obvious. Were there some mistakes--'well intended', or not--intelligence and assessment failures, etc., or perhaps by a few with a different agenda? Perhaps...

In the era of universal cell phone cameras, significant appearances before groups of humans are no longer possible or permitted, since such appearances would force acknowledgement.

The ETs have honored their faith, and done their job by 'knocking on our door' tens of thousands of times.

>The UFO Researchers

And the UFO researchers have done their job, by collecting and publishing a wealth of information on the UFO/ET presence. Much (most?) of the information on UFOs is nonsense, in large part because of the denials and brilliant disinformation operations of U.S.G. elements, abetted by the scientists and news media (with very few exceptions), and the consequences of what one Disclosure advocate has called the 'intellectual ghettoization of the phenomenon'. Only those willing to take the time to study the research, and learn to assess the reliability of various claims can understand much about ET presence. (Except, of course, for those who've had an experience, and 'know what they saw'.)

While opinions differ as to the underlying nature of UFO phenomenon, no competent rational person who has studied the evidence is a skeptic. And if any honest 'skeptic' believes they are familiar with the evidence, then try answering the question with a 'Yes' or 'No'.

Some UFO researchers would say that the UFO reality is a lot more complicated than just ETs in UFOs--there are 'mental effects', 'other realities', and 'high strangeness', etc. Good point, but so what? In a Universe full of 'strange' beings and realities, there are some who understand us, and can communicate what they know in images and our languages.

>Ignoring the mistakes of the past

These ETs have knocked on our front door many thousands of times, and we've chosen to ignore them. Do they have something important--maybe really, really important--to tell us? Can even *one* single well-known scientist on this planet openly say "Yes, let's find out if they're here and willing to talk to us..."?

Not even MAJIC knows the history of civilizations like ours. Do most manage to survive the era of nuclear weapons, the utter dependence for their survival on vulnerable technologies [e.g., internet/grid vs. solar/nuclear pulse, and cyberattack], the increasingly rapid destruction of their living planet, etc., etc., and then manage to survive the 'AI Singularity'? Some? Almost none? Or maybe absolutely none?

Could it be that the only ones who survive are those who are curious and courageous enough to try to learn from the experiences of other civilizations? MAJIC's view--quite 'reasonably' in one sense--is that if the cost of getting the intel is sharing it with the world, then any potential benefits are not worth the consequences of permitting our civilization to learn the story of Life in the Universe.

MAJIC knows that Contact will be the "end of life as we've known it" since the beginning of human history, because it will be the end of the philosophical (metaphysical?) concept of 'materialism'. But MAJIC also knows that even if our civilization (in the U.S., et al.) survives for the next one or two decades, that AI will likewise be the "end of life as we've known it"... And they understand that failing to learn from 'the mistakes of the past (civilizations)' could be the 'Final Intelligence Failure' for the U.S. and our civilization...

Or do they?

For U.S.G./MAJIC, and the scientists and all the others who wonder and speak and say they care about the possible futures of our civilization: Should we bet the future of our civilization on the notion that "Ignorance is Strength"? Should we ignore any possibility, however slight you might believe it to be, of learning from the experiences of other civilizations?

That is exactly the wager, by omission or commission, that humankind is making right now. Only the ETs, with their knowledge of the experiences of other civilizations know whether 'Contact' or 'Willful Ignorance' is likely to be the 'best hope' for the future of humankind. And so perhaps we might preface the question/message above with "If you assess, based on your knowledge of the experiences with other civilizations, etc., that we will in hindsight come to understand that the 'best hope' for the survival and future well being of our civilization was Contact now, then please let us know..."

>Some folks to ask about this...

While the Larry King UFO shows from years ago would be the ideal forum (one last show LK?), the general idea could be used by any curious reporter, or in any encounter between 'UFO Disclosure' advocates and skeptics and/or the media. Or by any large 'UFO research' group, e.g., MUFON. Or by the Paradigm Research Group...

Or any UFO conference: invite the ETs to make a carefully specified appearance, and then invite NASA to sanction it. NASA of course, would be displeased.

Or by UFODATA: you don't need a vast array of 'detectors'. You only need one, and a sanction from NASA. Issue your own invitation, and ask NASA if they would welcome a response.

Or try asking Douglas Vakoch and the folks at METI.org. You say you want to know if we're 'alone in the Universe', and you want to send messages to ETs. If you, NASA, and the scientists of our world *really* want to know, and to send messages to ETs, then why not try the experiment?

Or ask the Breakthrough Initiatives folks: "The Breakthrough Initiatives are a program of scientific and technological exploration, probing the big questions of Life in the Universe: Are we alone? Are there habitable worlds in our galactic neighborhood? Can we make the great leap to the stars? And can we think and act *together* – as one world in the cosmos?" If you won't try this experiment, then you've got to be kidding.

Or ask the world's most famous SETI scientist and the world's most famous UFO skeptic: Seth Shostak. In the past he's said he would like to know if UFOs are real, and ETs are here. This is the perfect experiment for the SETI Institute... You could specify Hat Creek, at noon, as the time and place. After NASA welcomes an appearance, all you have to do is look out the window at noon every day for the next couple months, and when a flying saucer or triangle shows up over the Allen Telescope Array, take a picture [or perhaps a video to record an optical Morse Code message] with your cellphone and post it to the SETI website, then go back to work. Maybe you'll win a Nobel Prize. SETI has inspired millions of people around the world for decades--but if you won't try the experiment, Mr. Shostak, could you at least try to be a little less dismissive of UFO research?

Or, better yet, try asking the Science, Space, and Technology Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives. The scientists who have testified before your Committee about the possibility of finding other Life in the Universe obviously want money for their projects--billions of dollars to do fascinating and inspiring science, and 'searching for ETs', etc. They didn't lie to your Committee; but they sure didn't tell you the truth...whatever their reason(s). Why not invite them, including a NASA representative, back for another open hearing, and ask them the question?

Or ask The Centre for Study of Existential Risk at Cambridge. "Can we prevent the end of the World?" Good question--but why aren't we trying to try talk to some folks who can tell us about the likely answer?

Or ask the Future of Life Institute. Quite apart from all the other risks, how much do the signers of the AI petition know about the history of AI in the Universe? Do civilizations like ours *ever* survive the creation of 'superintelligent' AI--coming sooner than most folks seem to understand?

Or ask Stephen Hawking, the world's most famous scientist.

Or ask Barack Obama...or Donald Trump. Or Hillary Clinton :) Etc.

>And Finally

For the 'catastrophic and existential risks' folks, and all those who say they care about the future of our world: Humankind is not the first civilization to consider this question. It will not be the last. How many other civilizations have made the choice you're making? What became of them? Do you want to bet the future of human race on your faith in ignorance? By omission or commission, 'for better and for worse', and whether you know it or not, this is exactly the wager you are making--and we are making--right now.

Don't believe it? Then try the experiment...

Friday, January 9, 2015

If You're Interested in Contact, Read This Book: Triangular UFOs

Triangular UFOs: An Estimate of the Situation. By David Marler. Richard Dolan Press, 2013.

This is an excellent book representing many years of careful research covering decades of sightings of the large triangular UFOs--the most important type of UFO with respect to the possibility of Contact. After presenting the research, the author establishes a profile of characteristics of appearance and behavior seen in many if not nearly all sightings. Finally, he provides evidence and analysis which clearly demonstrate that the large triangles are not human technology.

If you really want to understand what these other intelligences are doing, and want to have the knowledge to speculate intelligently about why they are doing what they are doing, then this may be the most important UFO book you could read now. While the author might not agree, that data make clear that one element of the ET collective has planned, prepared, and conducted thousands--perhaps tens of thousands--of flight operations around the world, year after year, over decades, in ships configured and operated in a way to make their presence conspicuously known to (usually) small groups of people.

[See an earlier post on this blog: Watch the Big Triangles which predates the publication of this book.]

These carefully controlled appearances show how well they know our civilization, and demonstrate a long term commitment to making their presence known to the people of the U.S. and other nations, in defiance of the policy of coverup and denial by major governments, and the ridicule and dismissal by most of the scientists and news media of the world. And yet, in limited deference to our governments' wishes, they have refrained from more dramatic appearances which would force the governments to openly acknowledge their presence.

After reading the book, or at least looking at the reviews and trying to understand the implications--if you want to learn more about the triangles--spend a few minutes on the Internet to learn about the Phoenix (1997) (it's not about the 'lights'!) and Stephenville (2008) (including the radar analysis) cases, which were not included in this book because they have been so extensively documented by other researchers. It is truly remarkable that David Marler's historical research and analysis have predicted the sort of behavior that would be seen in these later sightings. And so, the ETIs responsible for these two cases have, in effect, provided the most important recommendation of this book.

Thursday, December 20, 2012

UFOs, and the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk

'Those who do not learn from the mistakes of the past are condemned to repeat them.'

The creation of the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at Cambridge, one of the world's leading academic institutions, is certainly good news for those concerned about the dangers of Artificial Intelligence and the Singularity, and other grave threats to human civilization.

On the other hand...

>Ignorance: A High Stakes Wager

Would you bet the future of the human race on the notion that we're more likely to survive and prosper in the coming years and decades by ignoring any possibility--however slight--of learning of the experiences of other civilizations which long ago experienced the 'Singularity'?

This is exactly the wager humankind has been making for decades, and which the Centre presumably will endorse.

>The Hypothesis

One explanation for the Fermi Paradox and the UFO phenomenon is that ETs from advanced civilizations have been knocking on our door for decades. They not only understand our civilization better than we do, but they also know of the experiences of countless other rapidly evolving technological civilizations, and they know that Contact is always an enormously difficult experience, and a disaster if unwanted.

And so they haven't forced this issue, but rather have deferred, in a limited way, to the wishes of the governments, which, however imperfectly, represent the wishes of the people. The ETs have long been ready to initiate Contact when one or more nations, or perhaps the U.N. accepts responsibility for beginning the process.

This hypothesis might be wildly improbable, but it's certainly not impossible. And an experiment to test it costs nothing, and can be done now.

>The Experiment

All that's necessary is for CSER to ask the UK Space Agency (UKSA), or perhaps the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (UKFCO), if the UK Government would welcome a simple message from any ETs who are willing to talk to us about the experiences of other civilizations like ours.

Of course, almost any group, in almost any nation, could pose a similar question to their government, and solicit an open response.

A simple way to begin the conversation, by demonstrating that the ETs are monitoring our communications, and understand our language, would be a very brief but conspicuous appearance at a specified location, on a specified date and time. If any ETs responded, then the government and people of the UK (et al.) could begin to discuss when and how they wish to begin the Contact process in earnest.

For example, would the UK Government welcome such an appearance, at noon on February 1st, 2013, over Cambridge? [March 1st? April 1st? Ever?]

A simple response to this question from a UK Government spokesperson--"Yes, of course we would welcome such an appearance."--broadcast on BBC, would make it clear that the UK is ready to begin the Contact process.

Of course, CSER, a UK Government spokesperson, or anyone else could ridicule the question, and dismiss it. But wouldn't it be simpler to say 'Yes' or 'No', and explain why?

Do we want to know--or not?

>Contact: Another High Stakes Wager

Most folks would agree that any extensive Contact, whatever the benefits, would be enormously difficult and disruptive for our civilization--perhaps even in some sense, 'the end of life as we know it'.

But the only people who might actually know much about such matters are the very folks humankind so fears speaking to, and learning from--the ETs.

So perhaps we could ask the 'hypothetical' ETs: If you have something to say to us, that years or decades from now, you believe we are likely to deeply regret not having learned now, then will you speak to us now?

What the governments of major nations, the scientists of our world, and those who say they are concerned about the dangers of the Singularity (etc.), perhaps do not understand--and in any case are apparently not willing to openly acknowledge and discuss--is that the only choice we have in this matter is which wager we will make: to try to learn of the mistakes of the past, or to ignore any possibility of trying to learn from them.

For now, at least, the governments of the US, the UK, et al., and the scientists of our world--including those at CSER--have, by their silence, denials, and ridicule of UFOs, in effect assured their citizens that there's no reason to be concerned enough about our future to take the drastic step of trying to learn of the mistakes of past civilizations like ours.

Perhaps we should take comfort from the consensus of great minds, and the leaders of great nations.

On the other hand, perhaps the folks at CSER, and perhaps even a few government officials in the UK, et al., will spare a thought for those, perhaps long ago and far away--or those perhaps much nearer in space and in time--who have made--or who will have made--the same choice.


[For those interested in a longer discussion of this issue, please see: A Real SETI and Why It Matters]

Friday, July 13, 2012

Contact and the Future, Part 4

[More speculation about Contact & the Future, assuming ETs provide substantial access to their knowledge...]

>Arms Race

Contact will ignite an arms race, as militarists in major nations desperately seek to create their own 'flying saucers', etc., to achieve military 'supremacy' to 'defend' their nations. Despite its advantages, the U.S., in one way or another, in time, may 'lose' this race, just as badly as the eventual 'winners', e.g., China. Given the increasing dependencies, vulnerabilities, and other threats, and the enormous expenses which will likely be necessary to deal with these issues, no nation can afford to squander vast sums on military expenditures. Moreover, not even absolute 'air supremacy' is enough to ensure the survival of a nation or civilization.

>Miscellaneous

Important new alternative energy sources are almost inevitable in the near future. If the ETs make available something akin to LENR (Low Energy Nuclear Reaction) devices, or something even more exotic, then a massive transition will occur over the next few decades. The transition could, and certainly will be managed by some corporations and energy exporting nations in various ways to sustain their wealth and power; some will understand this, and act accordingly, and those who don't will have serious problems. In particular, energy exporting countries will need to maximize their profits in the remaining years of the fossil fuel era, invest their current wealth in creating a self-sustaining infrastructure (with a significant cybernetic/robotic element), and manage a very significant redistribution to their citizens of the resulting income.

A dramatic transformation from materialist medicine to consciousness based medicine is inevitable. Doctors, nurses, and other who interact with patients will be 'retrained' to understand that their attitudes, beliefs, and intentions can and do have enormous consequences for their patients. Many medical offices and facilities will include healers of various kinds. The gradual replacement of human surgeons, etc., by cybernetics (robotics) has already begun. While the exact mix is difficult to foresee, the future of medicine is a radically new combination of healers, cybernetics, and robotics.

Procedures similar to EFT (Gary Craig's Emotional Freedom Technique) and other 'tapping' methods, etc., will be used by nearly all primary care health workers. These procedures or techniques serve the enormously important purpose of 'ritualizing'--emphasizing and focusing on--deliberate positive intentions, and will be widely used as a supplement to, and in some cases a replacement for technological medicine. Elements of big pharma and other corporate health care service entities which may suffer losses from the decline in dependence on materialist medicine could compensate for these losses by beginning now to do the research to establish the most effective intention-enhancing 'rituals', and could profit by providing education, training (to supplement traditional medical training), and services.

The validation of the reality of, and our ability to interact with other realms of consciousness and existence--an inevitable result of any extensive contact with ETs--while of interest or practical relevance to only a small minority of humans, will nonetheless lead to new respect for, and a significant increase in 'business' for shamans, and others who specialize in such matters.

While it's long been foreseen that dramatic advances in the capabilities of cybernetic virtual reality systems will be widely used for entertainment, and other more practical purposes (e.g., healing, education, etc.), what was not foreseen is that the evolution of these systems, and their uses, will be guided by the dramatic new understanding of consciousness and reality.

'Philosophy' will be largely replaced by metaphysical knowledge.

Bad news for many kids who dream of becoming scientists and engineers, or young adults who look forward to a long and fulfilling career in these fields, since, except for a few, they won't be able to compete with the cybernetics.

Most factory workers will be replaced by cybernetics and robotics--even in the nations with the lowest labor costs. Developing nations will never experience what the U.S. experienced--decades of a thriving middle class based in large part on unionized factory jobs. In other words, virtually all of the wealth or profit from manufacturing will accrue to the corporations, mostly to the handful of owners and corporate executives. It's important that the governments of China, et al., understand this, and begin to plan, however 'socialistic' it may seem, for systems to redistribute this wealth. In the U.S., of course, any efforts to begin this process may be doomed by the opposition from 'conservatives'; and the social consequences could be devastating.

Good news for lawyers, since vast amounts of money will be changing hands, and the lawyers will get their cut. And--coming soon--a whole Universe of ETs who can be sued. Who wants to be the first lawyer to file a class action lawsuit in Federal Court: Humans v. Universe? And good news for comedians who can find something humorous about almost any situation.

Bad news for the NSE (U.S.G. National Security Establishment). It's may turn out that, in some sense, their decisions have--in the worst case, fatally--screwed the United States of America, and perhaps most of the human race. On the other hand, the decisions made by the NSE will likely be accepted as reasonable by most Americans, despite the consequences. As bad as our prospects may seem to be, the NSE and the civilian leadership of the U.S. could manage this, but only with a sobriety, rationality, and wisdom hitherto lacking in their words and deeds. Our system of government, and the institution of the NSE has, in some sense, failed horribly. Secrecy can be 'life'--but only for a while, and only at great cost. See President Eisenhower's Farewell Address, et al.

>New Age Movements

It is certain that there will arise one or more new 'spiritual' 'movements'--a few old folks, but mostly young folks. See "A.D." {Recent Books} for a speculation of this prospect. When they understand that all of the institutions on Earth failed and/or lied to them, and none can now be trusted, and the whole foundation of our most basic understanding of the nature of our existence was 'not exactly true' [See: 'When the Truth is Found to Be Lies...'], then they will look for--and they will quickly find 'new' truths--the spiritual understandings of all advanced civilizations--and they will set about creating a new world. It's possible that humankind will 'split' into two groups--those who will come to understand important spiritual truths, and by their faith, create something like a 'new world', perhaps here, or perhaps even on a colony world; and those who won't--and the latter, in some sense--for better or for worse for them--will be 'left behind'.

Whether or not most of the human race will survive over the coming decades, it's certain that this is the end of our 'childhood', or as some might say, the fulfillment of the 'Mayan Prophecy', which apparently does not foretell an 'apocalypse', but is certainly a suggestion that the end of an era of many millennia is coming--soon.

>'The Greatest Nation on Earth'
>'American Exceptionalism'

For various reasons, Contact will be more difficult, initially at least, for the U.S. than for any nation. Suddenly, the greatest nation on Earth is just--well--the greatest nation on a "Pale Blue Dot", and of rather little consequence in the vast cosmic scheme of things. [See Youtube for Carl Sagan, "Pale Blue Dot". Of course, he missed the part about "...no hint...". Too bad he's not here to see this unfold, but then--maybe he is, in some sense :) ]

Despite our greatness, for over six decades--since long before most Americans were born--our government lied about one of the most fundamental facts of our existence; and in some ways, the philosophical basis of our entire civilization--reductionist materialism--was a delusion, and a lie.

Obviously Contact is a global issue, and only the United Nations can speak for the nations of the Earth. But if the U.S. can't or won't lead the world--by taking a major role in initiating at least Acknowledgment, if not Contact, and managing the consequences--then, who, if anyone, will?

Whether or not President Obama starts this process now (as of this writing, July 2012), the next President will certainly have to deal with the consequences--one way or another. If no one in the news media asks the Presidential candidates the important questions about how they will deal with Disclosure and Contact, then the news media are idiots--or worse--and in some sense they will have betrayed the future of this nation. If America is still a great nation, then the American people--before they speak--will learn as much as they can of what is already, and may soon come to be known, listen to what the two candidates have to say, and in accordance with their faiths and beliefs, but most of all, listening to their hearts, choose whoever they believe can best deal with the enormous challenges of Contact and the Future.

> Update Spring 2016

Fast forward to June 2016, in a very interesting Presidential Primary campaign. Four years ago the American people made their choice, but for better or worse, the political system has degenerated further into a bitter and dysfunctional state. Obviously it will be very difficult at present for the U.S. to deal with Contact, but if UFOs become a campaign issue as a result of comments by John Podesta and Hillary Clinton, et al., and Acknowledgement--without significant Disclosure--is forced by serious MSM attention, then the situation will be worse for the U.S. than with first Contact before Acknowledgement and Disclosure.

If MAJIC doesn't take responsibility for this situation with a subtle but sufficient action to encourage MSM attention, and the MSM don't make this an election issue well in advance of the final months of the campaign, then once again the American people will have been deprived of critical information necessary to choose the next President; and MAJIC, humankind, and the ETs will have to deal with the next President--whoever that might be. And MAJIC: Please don't let this be an 'October Surprise'.

Thursday, July 12, 2012

Contact and the Future, Part 3

[More speculation about Contact & the Future, assuming ETs provide substantial access to their knowledge...]

>Nukes

Why are the ETs concerned about nuclear weapons? Since they clearly have the ability to end the U.S., and while they might suffer some loss and might be irritated, but are not seriously threatened by our weapons, what are their intentions?

First, they did not interfere with the use of nuclear weapons in WWII, because in that phase of nuclear warfare, the nuclear weapons were as a practical matter simply a quicker means of doing what the U.S. was already doing--except for the radiation effects--with B-29s, napalm, and HE (high explosives)--the standard firebombing attacks on military and civilian targets. The huge arsenals nations now possess are fundamentally different in nature, and in no sense a substitute for conventional weapons.

Would the ETs intervene in a major exchange between the U.S. and Russia (formerly U.S.S.R.)? Presumably this has been thoroughly discussed in highly classified analyses by the nuclear war planners in nations with large arsenals.

Humans do not have the knowledge or analytical ability to accurately model the global effects of large exchanges. (And they don't really care what happens to the rest of the human race in such a situation). If an attack on a primitive planetary civilization is forbidden ('illegal'), then from the ETs' perspective, the U.S. and Russia, et al., might be welcome to commit suicide, but not be permitted to cause the inevitable collateral damage to other nations, much less be permitted to destroy the human race. If the ETs acted, would they stop the exchange, and if not, would they somehow limit the consequences to the suicide of the participants?

>Religions

The main concern in the U.S. is what the new metaphysical understandings might mean for Christianity. The certain result is, generally, 1) the beginning of the end of theological 'Christianity', and the notion 'divine authority' for the Vatican, etc., and 2) the beginning of a 'new' (or 'old'?) religion based on some variation and/or elaboration of the Jesus teachings. Whatever the accuracy of Biblical accounts of particular claimed events and statements, it's likely to be seen that the simple teachings were a simple expression of a radically new, and perhaps unique (?) approach to life, which is based on the notion that if you can create, or at least powerfully influence, your own reality, and you know that in some deeper sense you are immortal (though not in this physical form), then you can give up the fear and hatred, the violence and killing; and just live your life, and love.

Initially of course, whatever is learned, there will likely be an increase in church attendance, as many Christians seek solace and comfort in the only remaining institution on Earth which they (will initially) believe didn't lie to them. Over time, many, or perhaps most Christians will continue to go to churches, in many cases with different 'services', and continue to celebrate Christmas and Easter, etc., but with a new, and perhaps equally or more inspired understanding of the Jesus story. A few may come to believe the main significance of Contact--the new, or affirmation of the 'old' metaphysical understanding that 'faith' can dramatically influence the reality we experience--as the fulfillment of an ancient prophecy (Truth and Freedom).

Presumably other religions will likewise celebrate religious traditions, with their respective new understandings. Only an expert in the beliefs of the followers of various religions could provide a comprehensive comparison and contrasting of those beliefs with whatever metaphysical understandings the ETs might convey.

>U.S. Politics

Contact will begin the greatest, and most bitter and divisive debates since the Civil War era, or perhaps ever in our history. Whatever is learned from the ETs, it will difficult for 'progressives' and 'liberals', but far more difficult for 'conservatives'. The social consequences of the inevitable dramatic changes in the coming decades--whatever the outcome of Contact--can only be managed by enormous government interventions, and conservatives obviously will oppose these.

It's possible that an irrational and destructive coalition of folks will arise, united by a shared resentment, anger, and hatred for ETs and the U.S. government, and especially in response to what the ETs and U.S.G. might tell us. If even a small minority of politicians and political commentators align themselves with this coalition, and especially if one or more major news organizations begin to 'fan the flames', then the Contact process in the U.S. will be doomed, and other nations will take the lead. This would be a devastating, if not fatal blow to the future of the U.S.

For the NSE (National Security Establishment), after decades of manipulating the U.S. media, and running psyops on the American people, this will be their greatest challenge, and perhaps their 'finest (?) hour'. Or perhaps their 'final hour'.


>They Should Stop Violating Our Airspace!

Why?

Before demanding they stop 'violating' 'our' airspace, it would be useful for the human race to understand why they're here.

And, it should be noted that for over six decades (or, since the dawn of civilization) they have been 'violating' 'our' airspace, and yet life on Earth goes on. Well--so far, at least.

>They Should Respect Our Laws!

Why?

Why would an intelligent life form respect our laws unless we can explain them? It's pointless to try to 'justify' or 'defend' human laws (or any other aspect of our civilization) to an intelligent life form, unless we can provide a comprehensive rational explanation of how our laws arise from an understanding and analysis of the logical implications of verifiable 'first principles'. For example, try explaining a moral, ethical, or practical basis for the provisions of U.S.C. Title 26.

>Why Should We Trust Them?

Why shouldn't we?

One of the most socially (and politically) difficult aspects of Disclosure in the U.S. will be the loss of trust in major institutions of our civilization--Presidents, Congresses, the institution of science, religions (primarily Christianity in the U.S.), and the news media.

Even if we can't trust any of the major institutions on this planet, why should we trust the ETs?

The simple answer is that for most people, the concept of 'trust' or 'truth' is totally subjective, and so people will trust or not trust the ETs for the same reasons they 'trust' anyone or anything in life.

A fuller explanation is beyond the scope of this blog, and is unlikely to serve any useful purpose.


[continued...]

Contact and the Future, Part 2

[More speculation about Contact & the Future, assuming ETs provide substantial access to their knowledge...]

>What Are They Like?

ETs, some of whom may appear to be biologically similar to humans, have a much better understanding of consciousness and reality. Their ships may be highly evolved consciousnesses, and the ETs' interaction with their ships will likely be based on a mutual understanding of consciousness and reality. It's quite possible that children raised on this world, and taught from birth the basic metaphysical truths, would in some sense be like some of the 'ETs'--without their cultural knowledge of course--but fundamentally different than most of the rest of the 'humans' on our world.

The ultimate relationship between 'biological' and 'cybernetic' intelligences is difficult to foresee. One possibility is that 'technological', i.e., constructed artificial intelligence collectives which achieve replicance--in contrast to 'biological' replicants which might eventually evolve (or be helped to evolve) to achieve some level of 'intelligence'--would be assimilated into a larger ET collective, or if they became problematic, would be terminated.

The larger issue is, in a more general sense, the relationship between 'spiritual' beings existing in 'physical' form, and the constructs of their consciousnesses, i.e., 'technology'; or even more generally, the hierarchy of the constructs of consciousness and intention (see Precedent Causes, below). And--can a 'technological' (cybernetic) intelligence be constructed which, by its 'thoughts' and 'intentions', etc., directly influence reality?

>The History of Our World, Our Race, and the Universe

Perhaps ETs created our world, our major religions, and perhaps they created our race or were involved in some way. It's likely that they interacted in significant ways with ancient civilizations. While some have argued our civilization is a farm, or garden, or a zoo, it's more likely we are in some sense the 'children' of one or more ET races, and perhaps at the same time an experiment of sorts in nurturing evolving races and civilizations, presumably in conjunction with, and at the behest of some common spiritual collective.  Perhaps some of them, honoring what they believe to be an 'imperative' of the Creation, create worlds as homes and schools for souls; and thus they would wish us the best, and with enormous patience, hope that some day we will 'grow up', and join with them in their efforts--to ensure '...that life in the Creation will endure, and flourish'.

>Precedent Causes

Who or what is 'God'? One of the most obvious questions a 'scientist' might ask God is: Who created You? Precedent Causes are obviously of extreme interest for the ETs who are still curious; and of course ETs might in principle be aware of umpteen levels of reality and consciousness 'beyond' ours. Since these are likely incomprehensible and unverifiable from our perspective, they might be interesting, but largely irrelevant to us at present.

>'Alien Abductions'

See the 6th and 7th paragraphs of the original article on this blog (UFOs...).

The realm of alien abduction research is a morass of confusing and contradictory claims and beliefs, horribly muddled by the widespread use of 'hypnotic regression'.

While some researchers believe the 'alien agenda' is to create a hybrid race, many of the interactions suggest the alleged 'abductors' are more interested in our consciousnesses, and experiencing our emotions, rather than genetic material. Of course it may be that in other realms of existence, consciousness is 'genetic material'.

Whatever the 'reality' of these beings, and whatever their relationships, if any, to the advanced technological intelligences, it's important to us (and presumably thus to the ETs) that some explanation of this situation be included in the initial contact communication.

>Men In Black

While elements of the NSE (U.S.G. National Security Establishment) have obviously harassed and threatened, etc., UFO witnesses and researchers, another non-human class of beings have also apparently attempted to silence UFO witnesses. If the non-human MIB activities were actually intended to suppress knowledge of the ET presence (rather than to emphasize its reality), then obviously MIB-class beings will be opposed to contact.  It may be that some beings from other realms, who have long interacted with humans, fear and dread that, as a result of contact, humans will come to understand them, and learn to deal with them--perhaps to their great detriment.

>The U.S. Military Can Protect Us from the ETs

No, they can't.

>REG Research and Development

The science of REG design (Random Event Generators)--i.e., psi sensors--is very primitive, and will evolve dramatically over the years. Psi sensors (or whatever clever name will evolve for such devices) will eventually be included in many cybernetic devices, and will be used in devices and web pages, etc., to register the state of mind of the user, and/or viewers' responses to content. (For a primitive version of the concept, see ...Psi Experiment). Some folks will make huge amounts of money from this technology and its applications. Similarly, something like the 'LOA Trainer' concept Intentions... may have an important role in educating people, and likewise make some folks lots of money.

>The Burden of Roswell--The Folly of Reverse Engineering

See Reverse Engineering.

>Why Would They Have 'Shot Down' Military Aircraft?

Did President Truman, or some high-ranking military commander, issue an order to "Shoot Them Down"? Did the ETs, in some cases, destroy U.S. and perhaps Soviet aircraft which attacked them?

Given the record of truthfulness of the U.S. Air Force in this matter, we'll never know for sure what the U.S.A.F. did, or what the ETs did, unless the ETs tell us.

The initial phase of contact can be a very difficult process, especially when dealing with violent and irrational primitives armed with weapons of mass destruction. The ETs made it clear--dramatically in the summer of 1952 (if not before), and many times since--that they're here to do something they consider important, and that they have something important to tell us. The U.S. alone, among the nations of the world could have taken the lead in Contact, but chose not to. Indeed, the U.S.G. went to considerable lengths to keep its citizens from understanding the situation. It's impossible to offer tentative explanations of particular events until the exact details are publicly known, but in general, it's important to ensure that the primitives understand what the ETs are capable of doing--and may be willing to do--before the primitives attempt to use nuclear armed suicide pilots, etc., over their own countries, in a deranged attempt to 'defeat' the ETs.

[continued...]

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Contact and the Future, Part 1

[For a comprehensive speculation about the post-Acknowledgment, Disclosure, and Contact world by UFO experts, see "A.D", by Richard Dolan and Bryce Zabel.  ("Recent Books")]

[The following assumes knowledge of previous articles (occasionally cited).]

It's easy to speculate about Contact and the future, and lots of folks have. However incorrect it turns out to be in hindsight, it can still be useful in promoting thought and discussion of 'knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns'.

There several critical decisions for the ETs regarding how to proceed with contact.

1) Should they provide a summary of information, and offer to provide more details on request; or a large package of information--enough to convey as much as possible of the information they consider critical, but small enough to be made available on the Internet?

2) Should they (initially) include information about religions of other civilizations similar to ours; and their (ETs') knowledge of metaphysics?

3) Should they (initially) provide information on science and technology, especially energy technology?

4) Should they (initially) tell us the whole story of their role in our history?

Without their knowledge--especially of past Contact experiences--we can't know what choices they would make.

What would we learn if they provided access to most of what they know? Most, if not all of the following is known by various people, and presumably already known by elements of all major governments.

>Critical Failure Modes

Existing critical vulnerabilities and risks (e.g., large nuclear arsenals, the vulnerability of the cybernetic and electrical grids to solar EMP and hacking; pandemics, etc.) will increase dramatically with the rapid evolution of genetic engineering, synthetic life, nanotechnology, and Artificial Intelligence, etc., and increases in drug resistant microbes, massive species extermination (extinction), Global Warming, and the continuing environmental degradation of the Earth, etc.

>The End of Life As We Have Known It For A Very Long Time

In the 'worst' case, from the ETs' perspective, while not 'technically' inevitable, as a practical matter--due to our attitudes, political realities, rapidly evolving technologies, technological and environmental vulnerabilities, etc.--a major collapse and even depopulation in the next few decades of some or perhaps many technologically advanced as well as developing nations may be likely.

Absent such a collapse, in many critical respects, life as we've known it for millennia is coming to an end anyhow--as a result of the rapidly evolving technologies mentioned above.

>Consciousness, Reality, and Spirituality

Contact will begin a revolution in the science of metaphysics--the study of consciousness, reality, and spirituality, and human health and well being. Necessarily, this will end the theology of reductionist materialism; and will be the beginning of a slow end for elaborate 'divine-authority' religious theologies, except as cultural traditions and refuges for a few 'true believers'.

Probably the best single page summary on the Internet, from a 'spiritual' perspective, of what we might learn about the nature of our existence is "Rational Spirituality" by Ian Lawton.

'Psychic phenomena' are absolutely real, but at present, human psychic abilities--except for healing others--are rarely significant in our reality. There's nothing inherently good or evil about psychic abilities, since everyone is 'psychic', and every day their thoughts, etc., influence themselves and other people, and the world--for better or worse--whether they know it or not, and for most people, whether they like it or not.

Something like the LOA ('Law of Attraction'), combined with something like EFT ('Emotional Freedom Technique', etc.) will be of immensely greater importance than any efforts to increase our 'psychic' powers, and science will explore the continuum of these two related understandings of the relationship between consciousness and reality, and the ability of humans to construct the realities we experience, and in particular the equations which characterize intentions, etc., and relate intentions, etc., time, and consequences...and the nature of the interaction between and among individual and collective consciousnesses, and whether the intentions of a group of people, synchronized or 'harmonized' by some means, can significantly affect the reality experienced by the group.

The understanding that humans have remarkable abilities to heal themselves, emotionally and physically, will have enormous consequences for our civilization. For most people, in most cases, this power can be significantly increased by the interaction with one or more healers. From the perspective of current medical knowledge, this might be understood as an extraordinary and deliberate enhancement of the 'placebo effect'.

>Science

Perhaps the most critical question for science is: are the "Laws of Physics" as we believe we know them, absolute, or only our constructions, overlaid on some deeper truths and realities?

While scientific and technological knowledge the ETs could provide might be critical, by far the most important scientific issue is metaphysics, and a change in the consciousness of humankind--a spiritual revolution. Even a new energy source, or an extraordinary new understanding of our planetary environment, etc., while they might be critical to our survival, will not ensure our survival unless our attitudes change.

Wild, or not, speculation: there is no 'objective' past, present, or future. All exist simultaneously, and there are probabilistic preferences, i.e., 'lowest energy solutions', but all are changed 'simultaneously' by conscious choices and intentions.


[continued...]

Monday, July 9, 2012

Contact, Acknowledgment, and Disclosure

>Acknowledgment/Disclosure Before Contact?

The big news story will be that for over six decades UFO's have been flying around, violating 'our' airspace, with no respect for our 'laws',  interfering with our strategic 'defense' capabilities, and according to some folks, 'abducting' and 'molesting' our people, etc. And the U.S.G. doesn't know who they are, why they're here, or what their plans are; is helpless to do anything about it; and has lied about their knowledge of the situation since at least 1947.

The ensuing media frenzy, and public anger, in the U.S., and to a lesser degree in other nations, toward various parties, including the ETs, could be very disruptive, and even destructive.

Perhaps the NSE (National Security Establishment) will consider Contact first--see the 'Covert Diplomatic' option in A Real SETI...--so they'll actually have something useful to convey to the American people. If no response is received then the current situation is unchanged--no notification of or acknowledgment to any party or the public is required. If a response is received, on the one hand, it forces disclosure, but on the other, interest in the facts of life in the Universe--and, whatever is initially learned, the fact that the U.S. Government is actually 'doing something' about it--may outweigh the obsessive interest in decades of lies by the U.S.G., and the failure of politicians, the institution of science, and the news media to address the UFO/ET presence.

>How Would The ETs Respond?

If the ETs intend contact as soon as humans are ready, and are willing to compromise on the principle of formally communicating only with a 'collective of sovereigns', then they should respond to any CD approach they regard as authentic and credible, i.e., representing an actual message from the head of state, containing a credible promise to quickly deliver the response to the UNSC (UN Security Council). CD allows one nation to initiate a request, and (subject to the decision of UNSC) gives access to the message from the ETs to representatives of all nations.

There are several possible explanations for a non-response to a CD operation, such as failure to detect the signal, or inability to establish the message is authentic and credible. These possibilities could minimized by certain partially overt actions taken as the effort is initiated.

What would they say? One possibility is "We will provide a more substantive response to an open request initiated by a multinational group or the UNSC." Or, more simply: "Open multinational, UNSC, or UNGA initiated." While reasonable in one sense, in that it's indicative of a very 'even-handed' approach with respect to the interests of all nations, it also ensures the process of initiating a request for communications will be 'bogged down', if not buried, perhaps indefinitely, in the morass of UN bureaucracy and diplomacy.

A better option for the ET response might be delivery of one or more data storage and/or communications device(s), which humans could interface with using their technology. The problem, of course, with delivering one or more physical objects, is that some humans, including perhaps most scientific 'experts', would fear infections from ET microbes, and might not trust even explicit assurances from ETs that the objects are 'sterile'. And so the objects might be destroyed, or end up locked in some biological containment facility, and never used. For now, therefore, this is simply not a practical option, unless the initiators of the CD (or other) approach decide in advance that they will trust explicit assurances that any objects delivered will be free of infectious organisms and substances, and request such assurances in the initial message. Absent this, some form of optical communication between a ship and a ground station is most appropriate for now.

The OD (overt diplomatic) national or multinational approach is a bit of a fantasy, unless the announcement is made exactly as the operation is initiated. Otherwise, the rest of the world will loudly complain, and the UN will attempt to assert control, and stop the effort, or at least cripple it with a diplobabble message. Moreover it will force disclosure or acknowledgment, and the world will have to deal with all the resulting social problems, without any useful information from the ETs.

By far the most likely to elicit a response from one or more of the ET groups would be a rational public request from the UN. The most probable response would be a message, and an end to actions solely intended to make their presence known, i.e., the limited demonstrations of presence which have characterized their behavior for decades.

The UN, of course, has already spoken on the issue of contact. While their response is, on the one hand quite honest and reasonable, on the other hand, it was a rather sad, and perhaps an obituary or even epitaph class declaration of the primitive and psychologically fragile nature of our civilization. [UN press conference video, 13 October 2010.] For now, the UN, speaking for the nations of the world, has sent a message to the ETs--somewhere in between 'go away' and 'sorry, we just can't deal with reality now--if ever'. Of course, this is not news to the ETs.

>U.S.G. Disclosure

Forget about it, for now. "The files were destroyed, if they ever existed, the people who created the 'coverup'--if there ever was a coverup--are dead, and, it's all S&M [Sources and Methods]." The S&M tactic--the claim that Disclosure would cause extremely grave harm to the 'National Security' of the U.S.--while total and incredibly stupid nonsense, would be highly effective. Most Americans (and most politicians) will buy it, especially after the Congressional Investigation and the "Commission to Make the UFO Coverup Problem Go Away" are announced.

>"Congress Will Get to the Bottom of This (Coverup)".

Not a chance. Many members of Congress will support, overtly or covertly, the elements of the NSE who were and are opposed to 'Disclosure' (as opposed to simple 'acknowledgment').

Some 'totalitarian' governments have erased their people's history, and it will be seen that this is exactly what the NSE has accomplished. The only practical approach is an 'historical' commission, and even they will never learn anything close to 'the truth, whole truth, and nothing but the truth'.

Recent Books

If you're interested in UFOs and ETs, these are useful and important books, and it would be helpful to at least become familiar with the general contents and arguments by reading descriptions, editorial and reader reviews, and discussions on the Internet.

"UFOs: Generals, Pilots and Government Officials Go On the Record", by Leslie Kean. One of the best UFO books in recent years for the open minded general audience.

"UFOs and Nukes", by Robert Hastings, the world's leading authority on the subject (outside of the U.S.G.). It's pointless to speculate about the nature and purpose of the ET presence without understanding the information provided in this book, and other related sources of information about ETs and nuclear weapons.

"UFOs and Government: A Historical Inquiry", by Michael Swords and Robert Powell; and other contributors. This is a huge book, more like a college text book than a typical popular UFO book--and someday it will certainly be studied by university students learning of this strange era of U.S. history (along with Richard Dolan's 'UFOs and the National Security State' books, et al.). It's rightly regarded by experts in the field as one of the most important UFO books in recent years, if not decades. For better or worse, it may be the last 'pre-Disclosure' book on the subject.

"Triangular UFOs: An Estimate of the Situation", By David Marler. See this post: If You're Interested in Contact, Read This Book: Triangular UFOs


Sunday, July 8, 2012

Watch the Big Triangles

[A continuation of sorts of 'Would They Talk to Us'].

The most compelling evidence that at least one group of ETs intend that we know of their presence, and by implication, that they intend the possibility of Contact, is the behavior of the large triangles.

Two of the events are the Hudson Valley and Belgium sightings, decades ago. Both involved sightings by many witnesses over many days and longer. The Belgium case involved interaction with military aircraft, and amazingly (by the standards of the US Air Force), the Belgium military openly acknowledged the events.

The next (?) major event was Phoenix, witnessed by hundreds of people. Initially ridiculed by the governor of the state, a former Air Force Officer, years later it was confirmed when the governor acknowledged he had in fact personally observed a large triangle, which was (to him) obviously 'not of this earth'. At the risk of stating the blindingly obvious, the appearance occurred when many people were outdoors, looking at the sky to see the Hale-Bopp comet; any ET race would have understood that this would be an ideal time to demonstrate their presence.

Finally, the Stephenville event was not simply an obvious demonstration of intent that humans would know of the ET presence, but may have been a message to the U.S. Government, since the flight path apparently ended near or at the restricted airspace of the President's ranch. While there's no publicly available 'proof' to support this speculation, perhaps the U.S. Government got the message:

{We can do this in 'broad daylight', when the President is at the Ranch, when lots of reporters with lots of cameras are watching. If you continue this policy--and if you continue to believe that the greatest threat to the future of humankind is the truth--too bad. Sooner or later the truth will be known, and if you don't deal with issue, at some point we may--and if you aren't prepared for it, you have only yourselves to blame.}

Was a revised version of a U.S.G. 'UFO Preparedness' plan distributed more widely, at least partly as a result of this event?

Would They Talk to Us?

Of course they'll talk to us--they already have, in deeds if not in words. They've made it absolutely clear that they're here; that they intend for us to know of their presence, but are not (yet) forcing the issue of 'acknowledgment'; that they have the technical capability to destroy our civilization, but despite many attempts to 'shoot them down', have refrained from any massive retaliation; and that they are particularly 'concerned' about our nuclear weapons.

Whether or not they've already had limited verbal communications with highly secretive elements of the US and other governments--only the governments and the ETs know--based on publicly available information, it's obvious the governments haven't learned much about how 'Rapidly Evolving Technological Civilizations' survive and prosper.

So, in the context of this blog, the question is, would they respond, and if so how, to the sorts of requests for communications described in 'A Real SETI...'?

In other words, are they willing and able to begin an 'intelligent conversation' with our civilization?

First, are they willing? There are several possible explanations for their clearly demonstrated intent for us to know of their presence, while not forcing the issue. What does this imply about their intentions?

One explanation is that they have no interest in contact in the near term, but are simply 'rattling our cage', either as a scientific experiment conducted on primitives, or simply for 'entertainment'.

Or perhaps, similarly without any intention of near term formal contact, they are gently making it clear to us that there are other far more intelligent and technologically advanced life forms in the Universe, and that we should begin to consider the implications for our possible future(s)--on Earth, and perhaps in space.

Another rather strange explanation is the notion of a 'Vast Malicious Alien Consciousness'. That is, some vast consciousness, responsible for UFOs, fairies, and the whole range of 'paranormal' phenomena, is malicious, but so far incapable of intruding into our 'consensus reality', and is trying to get us to 'acknowledge' it, or 'believe' in it's reality, thus empowering it to do us grievous harm. The (im)plausibility of this argument is discussed in 'Vast Alien Consciousness...'.

Another possible explanation is the premise of this blog--that they have in effect knocked on our door thousands of times, and intend the possibility of contact, but have deferred in a limited way to our systems of 'government', and are waiting for one or more 'sovereign' groups (nations) to take responsibility for beginning a conversation. In other words, they are definitely 'willing' to begin a conversation...

But even if they're 'willing', are they 'able' to have an 'intelligent conversation' with us? In other words, do they have the ability to convey useful information relevant to the future of our civilization?

There are two requirements for such a conversation: first, the cultural understanding and linguistic fluency necessary to communicate, and second, the technical means to interact with our communications systems.

Since they obviously have the ability to create optical signals--lights on their spacecraft, and beams of various kinds--and since detection of optical signals is technically trivial, even for us, clearly they have the technical means to communicate in at least a limited optical Morse code conversation. But unless they have an extraordinary understanding of our civilization, then no 'useful' conversation would be possible.

While they obviously have excellent 'physical intelligence', i.e., they can interact with aircraft, and electronic weapons systems, etc., in a very controlled and rational way, the critical issue is their 'linguistic and cultural intelligence' capability.

At the minimum, if they've had any interest in our civilization--and it's obvious that they have--they will have monitored our radio and TV for decades, and thus should have an excellent understanding of life on Earth. They've also had the capability to deploy probes (invisible or nearly so), capable in principle of physical surveillance of printed materials, and monitoring personal conversations. And in recent years, they certainly have had the capability to monitor (and even interact with) the Internet. At the extreme, they may be intercepting essentially all communications, including classified government traffic, and thus have access not only to what the public knows, but more complete access to the 'secret' activities of governments than any humans, in or out of our governments.

Even if, as 'biologicals', they are not far more 'intelligent' than humans, we know that (if our progress continues) in a few decades, humans will have created cybernetics which will far exceed the practical intelligence of humans. Such an intelligence (with unrestricted access to the Internet, etc.) would have a far better understanding of our civilization than any human; and so it should be obvious--since their technology is 'centuries' if not 'millennia' beyond ours, and since, for an advanced civilization, construction of such a cybernetic intelligence would be a trivial exercise--that, if necessary, they will have such a 'cybernetic intelligence'. And so we should expect--if they were sufficiently interested--that they and/or their cybernetics will have a vastly greater understanding of life on Earth than any intelligence analyst, or any talk show host, reporter, politician, or scientist, etc.

Thus, if they intend the possibility of an 'intelligent' conversation with our civilization, they certainly have the necessary technical ability, and cultural understanding and linguistic fluency.

We know with certainty that at least some of the UFO appearances represent an effort to make their presence known, without 'forcing the issue'. But what we don't know--at least from publicly available sources--is which group or groups of ETs would talk to us? Would one or more groups oppose, and perhaps try to prevent any contact between humankind and the civilizations of the Universe? What do we have to do to begin a conversation? And what would they say?

[Update:  If you're interested in this issue ('Would They Talk to Us?') you might also want to read 'Watch the Big Triangles' , and 'If You're Interested in Contact, Read This Book: Triangular UFOs'. The major 'big triangle' events are important demonstrations of the intention of at least one group of ETs to make their presence known. Also, if you're interested in this subject, you might also be interested in 'Contact, Acknowledgment, and Disclosure'.]

'Vast Alien Consciousness' and Acknowledgment

One of the more interesting arguments against USG acknowledgment of the ET presence is that the UFO/ET phenomenon represent a vast, powerful, and malicious alien consciousness (VAC) manifesting itself as 'flying saucers', 'alien abductors', fairies, etc., and that by acknowledging the reality of UFOs, this consciousness will be empowered to do us harm.

On the one hand, UFOs clearly represent a 'physical' reality--they emit and reflect light, reflect radar frequencies, interfere with electrical systems, and leave impressions on the ground when landing. On the other hand UFO experiences and related (or apparently related) phenomena often seem like 'paranormal' experiences, i.e., they often involve altered states of consciousness, and/or may seem to occur in a 'non-ordinary' reality, sometimes including strange beings and other anomalous apparently-physical phenomena. At present, we simply don't understand enough about the nature of consciousness and reality to know whether UFOs, etc., are real or simply manifestations of some VAC. Indeed, we don't even know what 'real' means, and whether everything in our reality--the entire Universe--might simply be a manifestation of some VAC.

Thus the issue is not whether UFOs are manifestations of a VAC, but rather whether they are malevolent, etc., and whether acknowledgment will empower them to do us harm.

While some aspects of the UFO phenomenon, etc., seem benevolent, or at least benign or indifferent, some clearly seem malicious or malevolent.

The 'empowerment' argument arises from the notion of the observer effect (in quantum mechanics), and the related notions of the power of intentions, expectations, and beliefs to shape our experiences and reality; or from the folklore notion that "if you don't believe in fairies (etc.), you won't see them, and they can't hurt you"; or perhaps from the psychological notion that expectations and beliefs influence perceptions.

An announcement by the US and/or other nations, or the UN, followed by massive media coverage, would have a dramatic effect on the consciousness of humankind. And certainly more people would see, or believe they had seen UFOs and/or had been 'abducted' or otherwise contacted by ETs, etc.

Indeed, if the President, in an address to the nation, flanked by military officials and leading scientists, declared that fairies were real, then we should expect more people to report seeing fairies.

While an announcement that 'UFOs are real' and the resulting media coverage would certainly have some effects on our experience, there are several problems with the argument that a VAC represents a grave or mortal threat to the United States and other nations.

First, the power of the collective of human consciousness to constrain the VAC interaction with humankind obviously far exceeds that of the alleged VAC. After six decades of UFOs (or thousands of years, as many believe), the VAC is apparently still incapable of significantly influencing our reality.

Second, cultures and civilizations throughout history have recognized (believed in) powerful forces and beings, and while their beliefs have had profound effects on their lives and cultures, so far, apparently, no civilization has been destroyed as a result of acknowledging these forces and beings. Of course it might be argued that never before in human history has the consciousness of the entire human race been affected to the extent possible with modern mass media and worldwide communications. The effect of mass media, however, could work both ways--statements by government officials and others, and media coverage could be used to promote fear, and feelings of helplessness, etc.--thus 'empowering' the VAC--or just the opposite; and thus dramatically influence beliefs and expectations of the world's people, and presumably, the reality they would experience.

For decades, elements of the USG have manipulated by various means and for various reasons, the attitudes and consciousness of the American people, and the USG Psychological Operations elements presumably would recognize the importance of this for managing reactions--for better or worse--to disclosure and contact in general, as well as any real or imagined VAC threat.

Third, since UFOs clearly have the ability to appear to groups of humans, and to cause aircraft, etc., to malfunction, and if they intend to force us to acknowledge them, why haven't they done something dramatic enough--appear over a major city in broad daylight, or cause an aircraft to crash in clear view of multiple witnesses, etc.--to initiate a media frenzy and the resulting change in our awareness?

Fourth, while some people may seek a personal physical or 'mental' interaction between humans and ETs, the purpose of this blog is not to suggest personal interactions, but rather an invitation to a very specific class of possible ET or other intelligences--beings who understand our civilization, are monitoring our communications, and who have simply been waiting for us (one or more governments) to accept responsibility for initiating contact--to communicate with us using our technology, initially with a simple recordable binary 'message'--an appearance, or not--or an optical alphanumeric message.

Of course it might be argued that a public welcome message, or 'request for communication', from a government, and the inevitable coverage in the news media would profoundly affect human consciousness, and as a result, empower a VAC to intrude more forcefully into our reality. But to the extent that our expectations, etc., are controlling the situation, the predominant expectation will be that an intelligence of the sort described above--whether a non-malicious VAC competent in our reality, or a nominal 'physical' biological and/or 'cybernetic' collective--either exists and is willing to contact us, or not.

VAC proponents can argue this endlessly, e.g., that public acknowledgment by a government of even the possibility that ETs are visiting our world will open the door for a whole range of malicious beings, etc., etc. If this is a concern, then the concern might be minimized by first using the 'diplomatic' initiative previously described (A Real SETI and Why It Matters), which will have no effect on the consciousness of the mass of humankind unless and until it succeeds, and the success is announced. Any response to a covert communications effort will not have occurred because of a change in the consciousness of a civilization, since only a handful of people were aware of the effort, but rather will have occurred because some intelligence already has the cultural and linguistic fluency, and the physical and technological competence in our reality to understand and respond to a request for communications from one or more governments, presumably for the reasons suggested elsewhere in this blog.

Finally, while a response to a covert 'request for communications' does not absolutely disprove the malicious-VAC hypothesis--indeed, in the foreseeable future we simply won't know whether UFOs, etc., are manifestations of a VAC far beyond our understanding of reality--it's irrelevant whether the response came from a VAC, ETs, ETs manifested by a VAC, or a superintelligent cosmic chipmunk living in Kansas City--the objective is to determine whether an intelligence is willing and able to communicate with us in our language(s), and whether such an intelligence has and is willing to convey information which may be of critical importance to the well-being and survival of our civilization.

No Nukes

If President Obama and leaders of other nations truly want a world free of nuclear weapons, and since the ETs are certainly 'concerned' about our nuclear weapons, and may likewise want a world free of nuclear weapons, perhaps the President will consider proposing an extraordinary deal: We do the hard part, and the ETs do what would for them be the easy part. For example: We negotiate an agreement among the nations of the world; and the ETs remove all nuclear weapons, significant quantities of fissionable materials, enrichment and reprocessing facilities, nuclear waste, and nuclear power plants; and they provide a watt-for-watt, safe and 'environmentally friendly' technology--which we can manufacture--to replace our nuclear plants, and they provide their advanced capabilities for monitoring compliance, and addressing any threats from non-cooperating nations (if any). Impossible perhaps--they may not have the slightest interest in helping us, with information or technology--but isn't it worth asking? Of course, the decision to disclose what the USG knows about the ET presence, and an attempt to initiate contact (if USG is not already in contact with the ETs) might be the most difficult decision a US President has ever made. But there are more difficult decisions, given our huge arsenals of nuclear weapons, and the suicidally stupid policy of 'Mutual Assured Destruction'.

Saturday, July 7, 2012

Sample Message for 'Diplomatic' Contact

Sample Message for 'Diplomatic' Contact

[Revised version, December 2014. Times change--and assessments change.]

This is a sample message for the 'diplomatic' contact effort by a single nation, as suggested in A Real SETI and Why It Matters. 'Common courtesy' is important, but in this situation, human diplobabble is inappropriate, and might be regarded as willfully stupid, if not gratuitously insulting to any intelligent life forms who understand our civilization, and the history of the U.S.G., et al., and UFOs.

{Begin message}

I am requesting information concerning the possibility of confidential electronic communications, using our technology--or technology which you might provide and which can interface with our systems--between the U.S.G. (and presumably eventually other governments or the U.N.), and the advanced technological civilizations which are currently interacting with our civilization.

I ask that you reply in optical Morse Code to the persons or system transmitting this message.

I ask that you refrain from potentially harmful physical or mental interaction with any persons involved in the transmission of this message.

If you cannot now, but may in the near future, provide a substantive response to this message, I ask that, if possible, you acknowledge receipt of this message.

If you respond to this message, I will, within one day, deliver this message--and a notification that a response was received--to the members of the United Nations Security Council; and I will deliver your response within one day of their acceptance of full responsibility for the receipt of same.

If you respond, this message and your response will be made available to the people of our world within thirty days of your response, by the U.S.G., if not by the U.N. As you understand, it is certain that some nations--but not the U.S.--will severely limit, by various means, the public availability of your communications.

Thank you.
/signed/ [the nation's President and/or Prime Minister]

{End Message}

A Real SETI and Why It Matters

Are we alone in the Universe?

After fifty years of SETI, scientists are still discussing the Drake Equation, and asking "Where are they?"

Do we really want to know if we're alone in the Universe? Or are we only interested in 'safe' aliens--primitive life in our solar system, or intelligent life too far away to have a useful conversation, or for them to do us harm?

If ETs, with knowledge and technology beyond our understanding, were already visiting our world, would we want to know? Certainly, for their own reasons, governments and scientists might want to know; but would they want the public to know?

Would we want to talk to the ETs?

SETI researchers and other scientists will argue that there's no evidence of an ETI visiting our world. And even if they were here, and had something to say to us, why haven't they simply said it? Why don't they 'land on the White House lawn'?

If even a small percentage of the UFO reports represent an ETI visiting our world, then perhaps the simplest of many possible explanations is that, from their perspective, they've knocked on our door, thousands of times, and they're waiting for us to answer.

They might know from long experience that a dramatic and unexpected appearance or message could cause a major disruption to our civilization; and that contact is always enormously difficult for a civilization, and can be a disaster if unwelcome. And so they continue to make their presence known, in carefully limited appearances around the world, and wait for us to say we're ready: for those who speak for the people of our world--one or more governments, or the UN--to ask them to make their presence known so that we can begin discussions of the possibility of contact.

While this explanation might seem ridiculously improbable, it's certainly easy to test. If ETs were monitoring our communications, a simple statement from the US or another government, or the UN, reported by the media, might be sufficient to elicit a message or undeniable appearance.

Last year, in a joint US-Australian effort, NASA transmitted the messages collected in the "Hello From Earth" project to Gliese 581d, some 20 light-years away. A quote from the project website: "Will we get an answer? No-one really knows. So why not send a message and find out?"

So why not send a message and find out whether the folks from Gliese 581d, or anywhere else, are already here and willing to talk to us?

Would NASA and CSIRO (Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation), or any nation's space agency, welcome a simple appearance--an undeniable demonstration of presence--or perhaps a message from any ETs who might already be visiting our world?

Would UNESCO and IAU (the International Astronomical Union), cosponsors of the 2009 International Year of Astronomy, and representing governments and scientists around the world, welcome such an appearance or message?

The answers to this simple question, from the governments and scientists of our world, would not only be a message to any ETs who might be listening, but would also be profound statements of the character of our civilization at this point in our history.

To minimize any uncertainty about how ETs might respond, the date, time, location, and nature of the requested appearance or message might be specified, and the event, or non-event, could be recorded, or even broadcast live.

Of course, the UN and the national governments might prefer, at least initially, to announce the presence of, and deliver any message from an ETI in their own way, rather than invite the ETs to communicate directly with the public.

So, perhaps scientists (e.g., the IAA SETI Post-Detection Taskgroup) and government officials of one or more nations would consider another approach.

If ETs understood our civilization, and intend the possibility of an eventual constructive relationship, they might refuse a request for secret communications with any one nation, to avoid the inevitable anger and resentment of other nations. On the other hand, perhaps they would respond to an open request (announced in the media), or even a secret request from the leader(s) of one or more nations, for secret or 'diplomatic' communications, if the nation(s) promised to share the message and any ET response with the UN, or perhaps the UN Security Council. If the ETs regarded the promise as credible, perhaps they would provide useful information regarding their purpose, the possibility of 'diplomatic' and/or open contact, and the nature of the information they might be willing to share.

Such an effort could be undertaken by the US or another government, using an existing communications capability, or something as simple as an optical (Morse Code) messaging system (a bright signaling light) to transmit a message, cameras to record any response, surrounded by a circle of strobes or spotlights, bright enough to be easily seen from space, to 'advertise' the system. If successful, it would allow scientists and government officials from several nations to secretly discuss the issue, and then to assemble a larger group of scientists, politicians, religious leaders, and others for further discussions--still in secret--and finally, to inform the public.

However unlikely it might seem that such efforts would succeed, both are simple, cheap, and could be done now. Of course the consequences for humankind, if successful, would be enormous.

Even if we somehow could choose to initiate contact now with an advanced ETI, why would we? Why would we choose--other than curiosity--to begin a process which might be the most difficult, disruptive, and even destructive experience in human history?

For the scientists and others discussing Global Warming, the continued destruction of our living planet, the dangers of nuclear weapons, genetic engineering, nanotechnology, and artificial intelligence--for those who wonder if our civilization will survive the coming years and decades--the answer should be obvious: Would any rational civilization ignore the possibility, however slight, of learning about life in the Universe, and the experiences of other rapidly evolving technological civilizations?

From the perspective of those who may know the stories of countless civilizations like ours, do we have a bright and prosperous future, or are we marching mindlessly toward an apocalyptic cliffside? Do most civilizations like ours survive, or almost none? What happened to all the others?

If we aren't curious enough to even ask "Who are you, and what do you want?", then perhaps the scientists and governments will consider a different sort of request for communication. For example: If you have something to say to us that you believe, years from now, we're likely to desperately wish we had heard now, then please say it now.

What if the ETs told us that, as some people already believe, our attitudes and beliefs, and the institutions of our civilization are simply incompatible with the technologies we already have and will soon create, and the harm we have already done and continue to do to the Earth? What if they told us that life, as those alive today in the US and many other nations have known it, at least in some critical respects, is coming to an end, one way or another, and soon; and that our only choice is how to manage almost unimaginably difficult changes?

Do we even have the ability as a civilization to voluntarily make major changes in our way of life? Would it be worth the effort to survive? Would we regret ever having asked about the experiences of other civilizations, and what they portend for the future of humankind?

So far, for better or worse, the answer from the governments, most of the scientists, and perhaps most of humankind, seems to be that ignorance is bliss, and we'd rather not know if ETs are visiting our world, much less ask them about the lessons we might learn from past civilizations.

And yet, if intelligent spacefaring life is abundant in the Universe, and contact is a common but not inevitable experience, isn't it worth wondering about the others--faraway and perhaps long ago--who might have made the same choice we're making? What became of them, and their hopes and their dreams and their fears for the future of their worlds and their people?